Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1147.028510 1296.078191 1459.660380 1652.924293 1875.538785 2124.530418 2424.962685
2025-11-30 926.482468 1129.124866 1371.298207 1683.837516 2079.080091 2565.672461 3215.303789
2025-12-07 773.353531 990.328623 1264.622173 1640.245890 2146.546959 2812.857036 3768.609262
2025-12-14 665.016664 885.377381 1176.610726 1594.828682 2188.451408 3013.671274 4270.373683
2025-12-21 579.582532 797.021155 1095.274927 1541.108872 2202.481760 3166.397611 4713.178447
2025-12-28 543.117693 770.179233 1092.867918 1594.214212 2370.504123 3555.617616 5558.768466
2026-01-04 504.668095 735.261746 1073.392577 1617.115151 2492.080904 3885.245396 6355.052614
2026-01-11 468.873916 699.956167 1048.538426 1626.921354 2591.189659 4187.606109 7146.988327
2026-01-18 437.339833 667.658219 1024.282431 1633.491128 2683.332915 4486.528982 7974.464595
2026-01-25 417.013667 650.681051 1021.860818 1674.390232 2836.434852 4907.123045 9088.253750
2026-02-01 396.557699 631.392365 1013.387307 1703.175765 2970.119822 5307.824375 10226.175102
2026-02-08 375.808412 609.646195 998.491881 1718.445362 3079.741982 5675.785429 11356.308103
2026-02-15 356.355976 588.982272 984.443175 1735.338170 3197.533913 6081.494290 12652.376364
2026-02-22 340.793622 573.756438 978.553197 1766.753148 3347.606060 6573.601141 14233.400085
2026-03-01 315.287801 538.885024 934.440063 1720.771150 3336.950409 6730.043402 15071.140007
2026-03-08 292.055168 506.267645 891.644785 1672.835262 3316.065552 6860.475890 15868.479530
2026-03-15 269.851501 473.886341 846.685350 1616.149668 3269.953051 6928.496017 16522.762635
2026-03-22 263.815179 470.956063 856.944931 1672.186818 3473.412954 7590.094291 18834.912531
2026-03-29 254.306271 460.709529 852.177426 1696.356058 3608.841108 8111.950385 20883.308422
2026-04-05 243.922835 447.995470 841.478527 1706.706075 3713.731557 8574.858891 22866.068089
2026-04-12 233.928763 435.308591 829.787300 1713.640424 3811.274222 9033.511500 24937.336261
2026-04-19 228.277990 430.795105 834.288401 1756.813454 4001.105966 9758.420526 27984.332197
2026-04-26 221.680625 423.886497 833.236538 1787.203819 4163.170590 10435.226199 31045.543231